Il premio Nobel per la Pace, Barack Obama, potrebbe rompere anche l'ultima delle promesse e rimanere in Iraq per diversi anni, scrive Thomas E. Ricks sul New York Times:
La situazione irachena, continua il giornalista, è molto peggiore di quanto pensino gli americani (ormai concentrati su Afghanistan e Iran):
IRAQ’S March 7 national election, and the formation of a new government that will follow, carry huge implications for both Iraqis and American policy. It appears now that the results are unlikely to resolve key political struggles that could return the country to sectarianism and violence. If so, President Obama may find himself later this year considering whether once again to break his campaign promises about ending the war, and to offer to keep tens of thousands of troops in Iraq for several more years. Surprisingly, that probably is the best course for him, and for Iraqi leaders, to pursue.
A retired Marine colonel I know, Gary Anderson, just returned from Iraq and predicts a civil war or military coup by September. Another friend, the journalist Nir Rosen, avers that Iraq is on a long-term peaceful course. Both men know Iraq well, having spent years working there. I have not seen such a wide discrepancy in expert views since late 2005.
